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CFB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: UCLA -10 → -10.5 (-0.5 pts)

Illinois Fighting Illini @ UCLA Bruins Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 13)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 40 books
ILL +10.5 (21 consensus books · 40 tracked)
Market Move
UCLA -10 to -10.5 (0.5 pts toward UCLA)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 85 · At close: 11 · Behind: 54 (150 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
ILL 23.6% · UCLA 76.4%
Consensus Spread
UCLA -10.5
Consensus Total
47.5
Market-Implied Score
ILL 18.5 – UCLA 29

Market Brief: ILL @ UCLA Spread

Illinois Fighting Illini @ UCLA Bruins Spread: vig-free consensus stands at ILL +10.5 -106 / UCLA -10.5 +106 across 21 consensus sportsbooks (40 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:47 PM ET). Best price per side: ILL +10.5 -115 at ProphetX; UCLA -10 -108 at BetMGM.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from UCLA -10 to UCLA -10.5 (0.5 pts) across 40 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).

What is the ILL @ UCLA spread consensus line and best price per side?

Illinois Fighting Illini @ UCLA Bruins Spread: vig-free consensus stands at ILL +10.5 -106 / UCLA -10.5 +106 across 21 consensus sportsbooks (40 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:47 PM ET). Best price per side: ILL +10.5 -115 at ProphetX; UCLA -10 -108 at BetMGM.

How has the ILL @ UCLA spread moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from UCLA -10 to UCLA -10.5 (0.5 pts) across 40 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for ILL @ UCLA spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET).

Why is the ILL @ UCLA spread moving?

  • Market consensus moved from ILL +10.5 to ILL +10 across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market consensus moved from UCLA -9.75 to UCLA -10 across 16 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward UCLA across 11 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 0.5 pts toward UCLA across 10 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

ILL
Vig-free consensus +10.5 -106 (51.5% across 21 books)
Best price: +10.5 -115 at ProphetX
UCLA
Vig-free consensus -10.5 +106 (48.5% across 21 books)
Best price: -10 -108 at BetMGM

ILL @ UCLA Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookILLUCLAExecution
BetMGM+10-110-10-108BetMGM
Caesars+10-113-10-108Caesars
DraftKings+10-110-10-110DraftKings
FanDuel+10.5-120-10.5+100FanDuel
Fanatics+10-110-10-110Fanatics
ProphetX+10.5-115-10.5+109ProphetX

Full market: 40 sportsbooks, consensus ILL +10.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ILL @ UCLA Spread

The Illinois Fighting Illini at UCLA Bruins spread opened at UCLA -10 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at UCLA -10.5 across 40 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward UCLA. Scheduled kickoff is Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:47 PM ET.

At Tue, Nov 10, 7:59 AM ET, the market consensus moved through 10, shifting from ILL +10.5 to ILL +10 toward ILL. Because final scoring margins and game totals frequently land on common scoring increments, moving across 10 materially alters the vig-free win probability for both sides of the number.

At Tue, Nov 10, 1:59 PM ET, the market consensus moved through 10, shifting from UCLA -9.75 to UCLA -10 toward UCLA. Because final scoring margins and game totals frequently land on common scoring increments, moving across 10 materially alters the vig-free win probability for both sides of the number.

At Tue, Nov 10, 6:29 PM ET, 11 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward UCLA by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Illinois Fighting Illini at UCLA Bruins spread.

At Wed, Nov 11, 2:30 PM ET, 10 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward UCLA by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Illinois Fighting Illini at UCLA Bruins spread.

Across the 40 sportsbooks currently quoting the Illinois Fighting Illini at UCLA Bruins spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 8.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 21-book consensus prices ILL at +10.5 -106 (51.5% vig-free probability) and UCLA at -10.5 +106 (48.5% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: ILL +10.5 -115 at ProphetX; UCLA -10 -108 at BetMGM.

In the CFB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 85 · At the close: 11 · Behind close: 54 (150 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 61.2% of moved lines ahead of close (85 Ahead of close · 11 At the close · 54 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 10

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date851154150
Last 30 days5643292

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 61% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Illinois Fighting Illini at UCLA Bruins (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/illinois-fighting-illini-at-ucla-bruins-spread-2026-11-13-27475" title="Illinois Fighting Illini at UCLA Bruins Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/illinois-fighting-illini-at-ucla-bruins-spread-2026-11-13-27475">ILL @ UCLA Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>