Why is the BUFF @ BALL moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 30 books
- BUFF -129 (30 consensus books · 30 tracked)
- Market Move
- BALL 46.5% to 46.5% (flat since open)
- Lane CLV record
- CFB moneylines: 19 Beat / 5 Tied / 19 Lost (43 measured)
Why is the BUFF @ BALL moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (1.6% implied probability) toward BUFF across 7 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
BUFF @ BALL Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | BUFF | BALL | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -140 | +115 | BetMGM | |
| DraftKings | -142 | +120 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | -138 | +116 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | -145 | +120 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | -132 | +123 | ProphetX |
Full market: 30 sportsbooks, consensus BUFF -129. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: BUFF @ BALL Moneyline
The Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals moneyline opened at 46.5% implied probability for BALL on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Thu, Nov 5, 12:31 PM CT) and currently sits at 46.5% implied probability for BALL across 30 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Wed, Nov 11, 6:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 12:09 PM CT.
At Sun, Nov 8, 10:14 AM CT, 7 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward BUFF by a median of 1.6% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals moneyline.
Across the 30 sportsbooks currently quoting the Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.6% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 30-book consensus prices BUFF at -129 (56.2% vig-free probability) and BALL at +129 (43.8% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: BUFF -132 at ProphetX; BALL +123 at ProphetX.
In the CFB moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 19 times, tied 5, and lost 19 season to date (43 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (19 Beat, 5 Tied, 19 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 19 | 5 | 19 | 43 | 50.0% |
| Last 30 days | 16 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 50.0% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/buffalo-bulls-at-ball-state-cardinals-moneyline-2026-11-11-27470" title="Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/buffalo-bulls-at-ball-state-cardinals-moneyline-2026-11-11-27470">BUFF @ BALL Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>