Investment Committee Thesis
Yale's slower possession profile can make Baylor create more of its scoring against a settled defense instead of repeating its opening transition production.
CBB · Home Team TotalFinal · Settled
Yale Bulldogs at Baylor Bears: Home Team Total closing line and CLV
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Release Line / Price
- Team Total (BAY): Under 89.5 (-115) at MGM ·
- Closing Consensus
- 89.25 (opened 89.5)
- Market Move
- 89.5 to 89.3 (0.3 pts toward Under)
- WAGERBIRD Fair Line
- 88.5
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 46 · At close: 5 · Behind: 51 (102 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- YALE 2.7% · BAY 97.3%
- Consensus Spread
- BAY -26.5
- Consensus Total
- 156.5
- Market-Implied Score
- YALE 65 – BAY 91.5
Market Brief: YALE @ BAY Home Team Total
Yale Bulldogs @ Baylor Bears Home Team Total: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at 89.25 after opening at 89.5 (10 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (CBB team totals): 47.5% of moved lines ahead of close (48 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 53 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11.
Since open (Mon, Nov 9, 8:00 PM ET), the line moved from 89.5 to 89.3 toward Under (0.3 pts) across 10 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD's release (Team Total (BAY): Under 89.5 (-115) at MGM, Mon, Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET). Game Result: LOST (Final YALE 61, BAY 90). Closing Line Value: Released at 89.5 (-115) and closed at 89.5 (-125) — Ahead of close (+3.9%). Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 89.25 (opened 89.5).
What was the YALE @ BAY home team total closing and opening consensus line?
Yale Bulldogs @ Baylor Bears Home Team Total: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at 89.25 after opening at 89.5 (10 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (CBB team totals): 47.5% of moved lines ahead of close (48 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 53 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11.
How did the YALE @ BAY home team total move from open to close?
Since open (Mon, Nov 9, 8:00 PM ET), the line moved from 89.5 to 89.3 toward Under (0.3 pts) across 10 sportsbooks.
What was the YALE @ BAY home team total release result and closing consensus?
WAGERBIRD's release (Team Total (BAY): Under 89.5 (-115) at MGM, Mon, Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET). Game Result: LOST (Final YALE 61, BAY 90). Closing Line Value: Released at 89.5 (-115) and closed at 89.5 (-125) — Ahead of close (+3.9%). Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 89.25 (opened 89.5).
YALE @ BAY Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Closing consensus before kickoff: 89.25 (opened 89.5).
Full market: 0 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus
The Home Team Total opened 89.5 and closed 89.25 (median of tracked sportsbooks).
Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)
- Ahead of close (+3.9%)LOSTFinal: YALE 61, BAY 90Team Total (BAY): Under 89.5 (-115)Strength 68Released -115 at MGM, Mon, Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET · WAGERBIRD Fair Line 88.5
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.
Read the full write-up (drivers & Red Team) in the Terminal →The WAGERBIRD Thesis: Team Total (BAY): Under 89.5 (-115)
CBB Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 47.5% of moved lines ahead of close (48 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 53 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 47% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Yale Bulldogs at Baylor Bears (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/yale-bulldogs-at-baylor-bears-home-team-total-2026-11-10-34468" title="Yale Bulldogs at Baylor Bears Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/yale-bulldogs-at-baylor-bears-home-team-total-2026-11-10-34468">YALE @ BAY Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>