Why is the SMC @ NEV 1st Half Moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 18 books
- SMC +109 (18 consensus books · 18 tracked)
- Market Move
- NEV 57.4% to 55.3% (2.2% implied probability toward SMC)
- Lane CLV record
- CBB first-half moneylines: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)
Why is the SMC @ NEV 1st Half Moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (4.0% implied probability) toward SMC across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
SMC @ NEV 1st Half Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | SMC | NEV | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +100 | -135 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +100 | -120 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | -105 | -125 | DraftKings | |
| ProphetX | -105 | -124 | ProphetX |
Full market: 18 sportsbooks, consensus SMC +109. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: SMC @ NEV 1st Half Moneyline
The Saint Mary's Gaels at Nevada Wolf Pack first-half moneyline opened at 57.4% implied probability for NEV on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 7:11 AM CT) and currently sits at 55.3% implied probability for NEV across 18 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.2% implied probability, with net market movement toward SMC. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 3:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 9:26 AM CT.
At Sun, Nov 8, 8:25 AM CT, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward SMC by a median of 4.0% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Saint Mary's Gaels at Nevada Wolf Pack first-half moneyline.
Across the 18 sportsbooks currently quoting the Saint Mary's Gaels at Nevada Wolf Pack first-half moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.0% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 18-book consensus prices SMC at +109 (47.9% vig-free probability) and NEV at -109 (52.1% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: SMC +100 at BetMGM; NEV -120 at Caesars.
WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every CBB first-half moneylines release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.
CBB First-Half Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Last 30 days | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Saint Mary's Gaels at Nevada Wolf Pack (1st Half Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/saint-mary-s-gaels-at-nevada-wolf-pack-1h-moneyline-2026-11-08-34150" title="Saint Mary's Gaels at Nevada Wolf Pack 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/saint-mary-s-gaels-at-nevada-wolf-pack-1h-moneyline-2026-11-08-34150">SMC @ NEV 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>