Why is the SMC @ NEV moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 18 books
- SMC +108 (18 consensus books · 18 tracked)
- Market Move
- NEV 54.5% to 54.5% (flat since open)
- Lane CLV record
- CBB moneylines: 1 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost (2 measured)
Why is the SMC @ NEV moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.8% implied probability) toward NEV across 2 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
SMC @ NEV Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | SMC | NEV | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +100 | -120 | BetMGM | |
| DraftKings | -105 | -115 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +104 | -125 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 | Fanatics |
Full market: 18 sportsbooks, consensus SMC +108. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: SMC @ NEV Moneyline
The Saint Mary's Gaels at Nevada Wolf Pack moneyline opened at 54.5% implied probability for NEV on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 12:15 PM CT) and currently sits at 54.5% implied probability for NEV across 19 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 3:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 5:30 PM CT.
At Sat, Nov 7, 4:14 PM CT, 2 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward NEV by a median of 2.8% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Saint Mary's Gaels at Nevada Wolf Pack moneyline.
Across the 18 sportsbooks currently quoting the Saint Mary's Gaels at Nevada Wolf Pack moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.6% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 18-book consensus prices SMC at +108 (48.2% vig-free probability) and NEV at -108 (51.8% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: SMC +104 at FanDuel; NEV -110 at Fanatics.
In the CBB moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 1 times, tied 1, and lost 0 season to date (2 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (1 Beat, 1 Tied, 0 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 100.0% |
| Last 30 days | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 100.0% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Saint Mary's Gaels at Nevada Wolf Pack (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/saint-mary-s-gaels-at-nevada-wolf-pack-moneyline-2026-11-08-34150" title="Saint Mary's Gaels at Nevada Wolf Pack Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/saint-mary-s-gaels-at-nevada-wolf-pack-moneyline-2026-11-08-34150">SMC @ NEV Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>