Investment Committee Thesis
Navy's rebuilt offense and Penn's short turnaround favor enough empty half-court possessions to keep the combined score below the posted total.
CBB · TotalFinal · Settled
Pennsylvania Quakers at Navy Midshipmen: total closing line and CLV
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Release Line / Price
- Totals: Under 149.5 (-115) at MGM ·
- Closing Consensus
- 146.5 (opened 148.5)
- Market Move
- 148.5 to 146.5 (2.0 pts toward Under)
- WAGERBIRD Fair Line
- 148.8
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 23 · At close: 30 · Behind: 28 (81 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- PENN 22.1% · NAVY 77.9%
- Consensus Spread
- NAVY -1.5
- Consensus Total
- 157.5
- Market-Implied Score
- PENN 78 – NAVY 79.5
Market Brief: PENN @ NAVY Total
Pennsylvania Quakers @ Navy Midshipmen Total: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at 146.5 after opening at 148.5 (36 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Wed, Nov 11, 5:30 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (CBB game totals): 42.9% of moved lines ahead of close (24 Ahead of close · 33 At the close · 32 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:30 PM ET), the line moved from 148.5 to 146.5 toward Under (2.0 pts) across 36 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD's release (Totals: Under 149.5 (-115) at MGM, Tue, Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET). Game Result: LOST (Final PENN 76, NAVY 81). Closing Line Value: Released at 149.5 (-115) and closed at 146.5 — Ahead of close (+3 pts). Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 146.5 (opened 148.5).
What was the PENN @ NAVY total closing and opening consensus line?
Pennsylvania Quakers @ Navy Midshipmen Total: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at 146.5 after opening at 148.5 (36 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Wed, Nov 11, 5:30 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (CBB game totals): 42.9% of moved lines ahead of close (24 Ahead of close · 33 At the close · 32 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11.
How did the PENN @ NAVY total move from open to close?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:30 PM ET), the line moved from 148.5 to 146.5 toward Under (2.0 pts) across 36 sportsbooks.
What was the PENN @ NAVY total release result and closing consensus?
WAGERBIRD's release (Totals: Under 149.5 (-115) at MGM, Tue, Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET). Game Result: LOST (Final PENN 76, NAVY 81). Closing Line Value: Released at 149.5 (-115) and closed at 146.5 — Ahead of close (+3 pts). Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 146.5 (opened 148.5).
PENN @ NAVY Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Closing consensus before kickoff: 146.5 (opened 148.5).
Full market: 8 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus
The total opened 148.5 and closed 146.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).
Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)
- Ahead of close (+3 pts)LOSTFinal: PENN 76, NAVY 81Totals: Under 149.5 (-115)Strength 48Released -115 at MGM, Tue, Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET · WAGERBIRD Fair Line 148.8
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.
Read the full write-up (drivers & Red Team) in the Terminal →The WAGERBIRD Thesis: Totals: Under 149.5 (-115)
CBB Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 42.9% of moved lines ahead of close (24 Ahead of close · 33 At the close · 32 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 45% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Pennsylvania Quakers at Navy Midshipmen (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/pennsylvania-quakers-at-navy-midshipmen-total-2026-11-11-34611" title="Pennsylvania Quakers at Navy Midshipmen Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/pennsylvania-quakers-at-navy-midshipmen-total-2026-11-11-34611">PENN @ NAVY Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>