Why is the EVAN @ MTSU moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 21 books
- EVAN +303 (21 consensus books · 21 tracked)
- Market Move
- MTSU 78.1% to 79.4% (1.3% implied probability toward MTSU)
- Lane CLV record
- CBB moneylines: 3 Beat / 3 Tied / 1 Lost (7 measured)
Why is the EVAN @ MTSU moneyline moving?
- Best available partner price toward MTSU: Fanatics (-330).
- Market consensus updated (2.9% implied probability) toward EVAN across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
EVAN @ MTSU Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | EVAN | MTSU | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +280 | -350 | BetMGM | |
| DraftKings | +310 | -395 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +265 | -335 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +290 | -375 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | +295 | -345 | ProphetX |
Full market: 21 sportsbooks, consensus EVAN +303. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: EVAN @ MTSU Moneyline
The Evansville Purple Aces at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders moneyline opened at 78.1% implied probability for MTSU on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 9, 1:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 79.4% implied probability for MTSU across 22 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.3% implied probability, with net market movement toward MTSU. Scheduled kickoff is Tue, Nov 10, 6:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Tue, Nov 10, 12:13 AM CT.
As of Mon, Nov 9, 4:15 PM CT, WagerBird Modeled Fair Value and vig-free consensus price MTSU at 77.1% vig-free probability, reflecting a +3.6% Fair Value Edge relative to current partner sportsbook quotes, with the best available partner price currently at Fanatics (-330).
At Mon, Nov 9, 4:44 PM CT, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward EVAN by a median of 2.9% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Evansville Purple Aces at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders moneyline.
Across the 21 sportsbooks currently quoting the Evansville Purple Aces at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.8% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 21-book consensus prices EVAN at +303 (24.8% vig-free probability) and MTSU at -303 (75.2% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: EVAN +310 at DraftKings; MTSU -335 at FanDuel.
In the CBB moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 3 times, tied 3, and lost 1 season to date (7 graded releases through 2026-11-09). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (3 Beat, 3 Tied, 1 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 75.0% |
| Last 30 days | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 75.0% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-09).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Evansville Purple Aces at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/evansville-purple-aces-at-middle-tennessee-blue-raiders-moneyline-2026-11-10-34456" title="Evansville Purple Aces at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/evansville-purple-aces-at-middle-tennessee-blue-raiders-moneyline-2026-11-10-34456">EVAN @ MTSU Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>