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CBB · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: LMU (+1.2% implied prob)

Loyola Marymount Lions @ South Alabama Jaguars Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 12)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 31 books
LMU -105 (31 consensus books · 31 tracked)
Market Move
USA 52.4% to 51.2% (1.2% implied probability toward LMU)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 3 · At close: 3 · Behind: 2 (8 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
LMU 51.2% · USA 48.8%
Consensus Spread
USA +1.5
Consensus Total
142.5
Market-Implied Score
LMU 72 – USA 70.5

Market Brief: LMU @ USA Moneyline

Loyola Marymount Lions @ South Alabama Jaguars Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at LMU -105 / USA +105 across 31 consensus sportsbooks (31 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 10:57 PM ET). Best price per side: LMU -105 at FanDuel; USA +100 at ProphetX.

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 5:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 52.4% to 51.2% toward LMU (1.2% implied probability) across 31 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET).

What is the LMU @ USA moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Loyola Marymount Lions @ South Alabama Jaguars Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at LMU -105 / USA +105 across 31 consensus sportsbooks (31 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 10:57 PM ET). Best price per side: LMU -105 at FanDuel; USA +100 at ProphetX.

How has the LMU @ USA moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 5:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 52.4% to 51.2% toward LMU (1.2% implied probability) across 31 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for LMU @ USA moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET).

Why is the LMU @ USA moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (3.2% implied probability) toward USA across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

LMU
Vig-free consensus -105 (51.2% across 31 books)
Best price: -105 at FanDuel
USA
Vig-free consensus +105 (48.8% across 31 books)
Best price: +100 at ProphetX

LMU @ USA Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookLMUUSAExecution
BetMGM-115-105BetMGM
DraftKings-118-102DraftKings
FanDuel-105-114FanDuel
Fanatics-115-105Fanatics
ProphetX-108+100ProphetX

Full market: 31 sportsbooks, consensus LMU -105. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: LMU @ USA Moneyline

The Loyola Marymount Lions at South Alabama Jaguars moneyline opened at 52.4% implied probability for USA on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 5:45 PM ET) and currently sits at 51.2% implied probability for USA across 31 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.2% implied probability, with net market movement toward LMU. Scheduled kickoff is Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 10:57 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 9:44 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward USA by a median of 3.2% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Loyola Marymount Lions at South Alabama Jaguars moneyline.

Across the 31 sportsbooks currently quoting the Loyola Marymount Lions at South Alabama Jaguars moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.5% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 31-book consensus prices LMU at -105 (51.2% vig-free probability) and USA at +105 (48.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: LMU -105 at FanDuel; USA +100 at ProphetX.

In the CBB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 3 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 2 (8 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 50.0% of moved lines ahead of close (3 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date3328
Last 30 days3328

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 60% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Loyola Marymount Lions at South Alabama Jaguars (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/loyola-marymount-lions-at-south-alabama-jaguars-moneyline-2026-11-12-34768" title="Loyola Marymount Lions at South Alabama Jaguars Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/loyola-marymount-lions-at-south-alabama-jaguars-moneyline-2026-11-12-34768">LMU @ USA Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>