Investment Committee Thesis
Air Force's retained core and offensive rebounding can keep the game competitive enough to absorb a narrow Loyola win.
CBB · SpreadFinal · Settled
Loyola Chicago Ramblers at Air Force Falcons: spread closing line and CLV
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Release Line / Price
- Point Spread: Air Force Falcons +8.5 (-108) at PX ·
- Closing Consensus
- AF +10.5 (opened AF +8.5)
- Market Move
- AF +8.5 to +10.5 (2.0 pts toward LUC)
- WAGERBIRD Fair Line
- +7.77
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 36 · At close: 33 · Behind: 50 (119 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- LUC 3.5% · AF 96.5%
- Consensus Spread
- AF -12.5
- Consensus Total
- 200.5
- Market-Implied Score
- LUC 94 – AF 106.5
Market Brief: LUC @ AF Spread
Loyola Chicago Ramblers @ Air Force Falcons Spread: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at AF +10.5 after opening at AF +8.5 (36 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Wed, Nov 11, 3:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (CBB spreads): 41.4% of moved lines ahead of close (36 Ahead of close · 33 At the close · 51 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 1:45 PM ET), the line moved from LUC -8.5 to LUC -10.5 (2.0 pts) across 36 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD's release (Point Spread: Air Force Falcons +8.5 (-108) at PX, Tue, Nov 10, 8:33 PM ET). Game Result: WON (Final LUC 93, AF 107). Closing Line Value: Released at +8.5 (-108) and closed at +10.5 — Behind close (-2.0 pts); the game result settles strictly on the final score against our release number. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: AF +10.5 (opened AF +8.5).
What was the LUC @ AF spread closing and opening consensus line?
Loyola Chicago Ramblers @ Air Force Falcons Spread: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at AF +10.5 after opening at AF +8.5 (36 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Wed, Nov 11, 3:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (CBB spreads): 41.4% of moved lines ahead of close (36 Ahead of close · 33 At the close · 51 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11.
How did the LUC @ AF spread move from open to close?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 1:45 PM ET), the line moved from LUC -8.5 to LUC -10.5 (2.0 pts) across 36 sportsbooks.
What was the LUC @ AF spread release result and closing consensus?
WAGERBIRD's release (Point Spread: Air Force Falcons +8.5 (-108) at PX, Tue, Nov 10, 8:33 PM ET). Game Result: WON (Final LUC 93, AF 107). Closing Line Value: Released at +8.5 (-108) and closed at +10.5 — Behind close (-2.0 pts); the game result settles strictly on the final score against our release number. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: AF +10.5 (opened AF +8.5).
LUC @ AF Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Closing consensus before kickoff: AF +10.5 (opened AF +8.5).
Full market: 20 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus
AF opened +8.5 and closed +10.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).
Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)
- Behind closeWONFinal: LUC 93, AF 107Point Spread: Air Force Falcons +8.5 (-108)Strength 52Released -108 at PX, Tue, Nov 10, 8:33 PM ET · WAGERBIRD Fair Line +7.77
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.
Read the full write-up (drivers & Red Team) in the Terminal →The WAGERBIRD Thesis: Point Spread: Air Force Falcons +8.5 (-108)
CBB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 41.4% of moved lines ahead of close (36 Ahead of close · 33 At the close · 51 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 42% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Loyola Chicago Ramblers at Air Force Falcons (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/loyola-chicago-ramblers-at-air-force-falcons-spread-2026-11-11-34608" title="Loyola Chicago Ramblers at Air Force Falcons Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/loyola-chicago-ramblers-at-air-force-falcons-spread-2026-11-11-34608">LUC @ AF Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>