Why is the IDST @ AF moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 44 books
- IDST +224 (44 consensus books · 44 tracked)
- Market Move
- AF 71.8% to 72.4% (0.6% implied probability toward AF)
- Lane CLV record
- CBB moneylines: 1 Beat / 1 Tied / 1 Lost (3 measured)
Why is the IDST @ AF moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.1% implied probability) toward AF across 11 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
IDST @ AF Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | IDST | AF | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +220 | -275 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +210 | -260 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +210 | -258 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +220 | -275 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +210 | -263 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | +225 | -240 | ProphetX |
Full market: 44 sportsbooks, consensus IDST +224. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: IDST @ AF Moneyline
The Idaho State Bengals at Air Force Falcons moneyline opened at 71.8% implied probability for AF on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 1:45 PM CT) and currently sits at 72.4% implied probability for AF across 44 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.6% implied probability, with net market movement toward AF. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 2:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 9:26 AM CT.
At Sun, Nov 8, 8:03 AM CT, 11 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward AF by a median of 2.1% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Idaho State Bengals at Air Force Falcons moneyline.
Across the 44 sportsbooks currently quoting the Idaho State Bengals at Air Force Falcons moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.7% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 44-book consensus prices IDST at +224 (30.9% vig-free probability) and AF at -224 (69.1% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: IDST +225 at ProphetX; AF -240 at ProphetX.
In the CBB moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 1 times, tied 1, and lost 1 season to date (3 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (1 Beat, 1 Tied, 1 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Last 30 days | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 50.0% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Idaho State Bengals at Air Force Falcons (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/idaho-state-bengals-at-air-force-falcons-moneyline-2026-11-08-34147" title="Idaho State Bengals at Air Force Falcons Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/idaho-state-bengals-at-air-force-falcons-moneyline-2026-11-08-34147">IDST @ AF Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>