CBB · 1st Half MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: IDST (+0.5% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the IDST @ AF 1st Half Moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 19 books
IDST +174 (19 consensus books · 19 tracked)
Market Move
AF 67.7% to 67.2% (0.5% implied probability toward IDST)
Lane CLV record
CBB first-half moneylines: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)

Why is the IDST @ AF 1st Half Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.1% implied probability) toward IDST across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

IDST
Vig-free consensus +174 (36.5% across 19 books)
Best price: +176 at FanDuel
AF
Vig-free consensus -174 (63.5% across 19 books)
Best price: -195 at Caesars

IDST @ AF 1st Half Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookIDSTAFUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+160-220BetMGM
Caesars+162-195Caesars
DraftKings+160-210DraftKings
FanDuel+176-220FanDuel
ProphetX+158-215ProphetX

Full market: 19 sportsbooks, consensus IDST +174. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: IDST @ AF 1st Half Moneyline

The Idaho State Bengals at Air Force Falcons first-half moneyline opened at 67.7% implied probability for AF on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 7:11 AM CT) and currently sits at 67.2% implied probability for AF across 19 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5% implied probability, with net market movement toward IDST. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 2:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 9:38 AM CT.

At Sun, Nov 8, 8:44 AM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward IDST by a median of 2.1% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Idaho State Bengals at Air Force Falcons first-half moneyline.

Across the 19 sportsbooks currently quoting the Idaho State Bengals at Air Force Falcons first-half moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.8% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 19-book consensus prices IDST at +174 (36.5% vig-free probability) and AF at -174 (63.5% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: IDST +176 at FanDuel; AF -195 at Caesars.

WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every CBB first-half moneylines release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

CBB First-Half Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date0000-
Last 30 days0000-

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Idaho State Bengals at Air Force Falcons (1st Half Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/idaho-state-bengals-at-air-force-falcons-1h-moneyline-2026-11-08-34147" title="Idaho State Bengals at Air Force Falcons 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/idaho-state-bengals-at-air-force-falcons-1h-moneyline-2026-11-08-34147">IDST @ AF 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>