CBB · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: FLA (+0.1% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the FLA @ FSU moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 33 books
FLA -389 (33 consensus books · 33 tracked)
Market Move
FSU 21.7% to 21.6% (0.1% implied probability toward FLA)
Lane CLV record
CBB moneylines: 3 Beat / 3 Tied / 1 Lost (7 measured)

Why is the FLA @ FSU moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (3.5% implied probability) toward FLA across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

FLA
Vig-free consensus -389 (79.6% across 33 books)
Best price: -470 at ProphetX
FSU
Vig-free consensus +389 (20.5% across 33 books)
Best price: +440 at ProphetX

FLA @ FSU Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookFLAFSUUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM-475+360BetMGM
DraftKings-550+410DraftKings
FanDuel-550+400FanDuel
Fanatics-500+370Fanatics
ProphetX-470+440ProphetX

Full market: 33 sportsbooks, consensus FLA -389. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: FLA @ FSU Moneyline

The Florida Gators at Florida State Seminoles moneyline opened at 21.7% implied probability for FSU on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 9, 12:45 PM CT) and currently sits at 21.6% implied probability for FSU across 34 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.1% implied probability, with net market movement toward FLA. Scheduled kickoff is Tue, Nov 10, 5:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 10:10 PM CT.

At Mon, Nov 9, 5:15 PM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward FLA by a median of 3.5% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Florida Gators at Florida State Seminoles moneyline.

Across the 33 sportsbooks currently quoting the Florida Gators at Florida State Seminoles moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.3% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 33-book consensus prices FLA at -389 (79.5% vig-free probability) and FSU at +389 (20.4% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: FLA -470 at ProphetX; FSU +440 at ProphetX.

In the CBB moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 3 times, tied 3, and lost 1 season to date (7 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (3 Beat, 3 Tied, 1 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date331775.0%
Last 30 days331775.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Florida Gators at Florida State Seminoles (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/florida-gators-at-florida-state-seminoles-moneyline-2026-11-10-34428" title="Florida Gators at Florida State Seminoles Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/florida-gators-at-florida-state-seminoles-moneyline-2026-11-10-34428">FLA @ FSU Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>