CBB · SpreadFree Pick ReleaseKickoff Fair Value Edge: +22.8% EVES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

DSU @ GTWN Spread Fair Value (+24.26 / -191) vs +27.5 Market: Free Pick Point Spread: Delaware State Hornets +28.5 (-115)

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

Release Line / Price
Point Spread: Delaware State Hornets +28.5 (-115) at MGM ·
Current Consensus across 31 books
DSU +27.5 (15 consensus books · 31 tracked)
Market Move
GTWN -27.5 to -27.5 (flat since open)
WagerBird Fair Line & Fair Price
+24.26 / -191 / 65.7% vig-free
+EV%
+22.8% at release · +22.8% at best partner
Value Status
Active edge · Best price +28.5 -115 at BetMGM
Lane CLV record
CBB spreads: 31 Beat / 29 Tied / 44 Lost (104 measured)
Free Pick Release (STR 68)Fair Value Edge: +22.8% EV+22.8% EV at Best Book
Pick SidePoint Spread: Delaware State Hornets +28.5 (-115)
Release Line & Price+28.5 (-115) · MGM
Modeled Fair Line & Fair Price+24.26 / -191 (65.7%)
+EV% Edge vs. Market (+27.5)+22.8%

The WagerBird Brief: Point Spread: Delaware State Hornets +28.5 (-115)

Investment Committee Thesis

Delaware State can stay within the spread if Georgetown's perimeter shooting normalizes and the Hornets manufacture enough additional scoring possessions.

Fundamental Case (3 Drivers)

Perimeter production can normalize
GU 15/30 3PT · LOWE 10/16 THROUGH TWO GAMES

Georgetown made 15 of 30 threes against Maryland, while Lowe has opened the season 10 of 16 from distance. Those makes can create separation quickly, but repeating that conversion is different from simply generating attempts. More ordinary shooting would leave Delaware State fewer scoring runs to answer and more opportunities to end possessions with rebounds.

Disruption and second chances
17 FORCED NAVY TO · 19 MARYLAND OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS

Delaware State forced 17 Navy turnovers, giving its defense a route to create possessions rather than relying entirely on half-court scoring. Georgetown allowed Maryland 19 offensive rebounds, showing that its interior size does not automatically finish defensive trips. Turnovers and second chances give the Hornets practical ways to offset the difference in shotmaking.

The entire rotation matters
LATEST BENCH SCORING · GU 14 PTS · DSU 12 PTS

Georgetown's bench scored 14 points against Maryland, while Delaware State's bench supplied 12 at Navy. Full-game exposure includes those reserve possessions rather than only the opening stretch with the leading creators. If the game becomes less competitive, Delaware State can still score against changing combinations and reduce the final separation.

Red Team Counter-Case & Risk Factors

Georgetown can break the game open if its guards sustain their perimeter shooting and punish pressure with quick ball movement. Iwuchukwu and Machot can erase interior attempts, leaving Delaware State dependent on difficult jumpers. Repeated live-ball turnovers would give Georgetown easy baskets before its size even becomes a half-court factor. Productive reserve minutes could then extend the separation instead of allowing Delaware State to recover late.

Why is the DSU @ GTWN spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward DSU across 9 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

DSU
Vig-free consensus +27.5 +105 (48.8% across 15 books)
Best price: +28.5 -115 at BetMGM
GTWN
Vig-free consensus -27.5 -105 (51.2% across 15 books)
Best price: -27.5 -110 at Caesars

DSU @ GTWN Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookDSUGTWNUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+28.5-115-28.5-105BetMGM
Caesars+27.5-110-27.5-110Caesars
DraftKings+27.5-108-27.5-112DraftKings
FanDuel+27.5-102-27.5-120FanDuel
Fanatics+28-110-28-110Fanatics
ProphetX+27.5+102-27.5-112ProphetX

Full market: 31 sportsbooks, consensus DSU +27.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Summary: DSU @ GTWN Spread

Across 31 tracked sportsbooks, the DSU @ GTWN spread moved from an opening number of GTWN -27.5 to GTWN -27.5.

Best current licensed partner quotes: DSU +28.5 -115 at BetMGM; GTWN -27.5 -110 at Caesars. Quoting books currently span 2.0 pts across the market.

CBB Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (31 Beat, 29 Tied, 44 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date31294410441.3%
Last 30 days31294410441.3%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-09).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Delaware State Hornets at Georgetown Hoyas (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/delaware-state-hornets-at-georgetown-hoyas-spread-2026-11-10-34430" title="Delaware State Hornets at Georgetown Hoyas Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/delaware-state-hornets-at-georgetown-hoyas-spread-2026-11-10-34430">DSU @ GTWN Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>