CBB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: ARK -2.5 → -1.5 (+1.0 pts)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the ARK @ UVA spread moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 25 books
ARK +1.5 (16 consensus books · 25 tracked)
Market Move
UVA -2.5 to -1.5 (1.0 pt toward ARK)
Lane CLV record
CBB spreads: 26 Beat / 26 Tied / 31 Lost (83 measured)

Why is the ARK @ UVA spread moving?

  • Market line moved 0.8 pts toward ARK across 2 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

ARK
Vig-free consensus +1.5 +109 (47.9% across 16 books)
Best price: +3 -110 at Caesars
UVA
Vig-free consensus -1.5 -109 (52.1% across 16 books)
Best price: -1.5 -120 at FanDuel

ARK @ UVA Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookARKUVAUpdated (CT)Execution
Caesars+3-110-3-110Caesars
DraftKings+2.5-120-2.5+100DraftKings
FanDuel+1.5-102-1.5-120FanDuel
Fanatics+2.5-110-2.5-110Fanatics

Full market: 25 sportsbooks, consensus ARK +1.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ARK @ UVA Spread

The Arkansas Razorbacks at Virginia Cavaliers spread opened at UVA -2.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 10:30 AM CT) and currently sits at UVA -1.5 across 25 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward ARK. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 12:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:25 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 11:14 AM CT, 2 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward ARK by a median of 0.8 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Arkansas Razorbacks at Virginia Cavaliers spread.

Across the 25 sportsbooks currently quoting the Arkansas Razorbacks at Virginia Cavaliers spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 16-book consensus prices ARK at +1.5 +109 (47.9% vig-free probability) and UVA at -1.5 -109 (52.1% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: ARK +3 -110 at Caesars; UVA -1.5 -120 at FanDuel.

In the CBB spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 26 times, tied 26, and lost 31 season to date (83 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (26 Beat, 26 Tied, 31 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date2626318345.6%
Last 30 days2626318345.6%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Arkansas Razorbacks at Virginia Cavaliers (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/arkansas-razorbacks-at-virginia-cavaliers-spread-2026-11-08-34131" title="Arkansas Razorbacks at Virginia Cavaliers Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/arkansas-razorbacks-at-virginia-cavaliers-spread-2026-11-08-34131">ARK @ UVA Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>