CBB · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: ARK (+2.4% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the ARK @ UVA moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 23 books
ARK +123 (23 consensus books · 23 tracked)
Market Move
UVA 60.9% to 58.5% (2.4% implied probability toward ARK)
Lane CLV record
CBB moneylines: 1 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost (2 measured)

Why is the ARK @ UVA moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (4.3% implied probability) toward ARK across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

ARK
Vig-free consensus +123 (44.9% across 23 books)
Best price: +120 at DraftKings
UVA
Vig-free consensus -123 (55.1% across 23 books)
Best price: -134 at FanDuel

ARK @ UVA Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookARKUVAUpdated (CT)Execution
DraftKings+120-142DraftKings
FanDuel+112-134FanDuel
Fanatics+115-141Fanatics

Full market: 23 sportsbooks, consensus ARK +123. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ARK @ UVA Moneyline

The Arkansas Razorbacks at Virginia Cavaliers moneyline opened at 60.9% implied probability for UVA on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 10:30 AM CT) and currently sits at 58.5% implied probability for UVA across 23 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward ARK. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 12:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:27 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 11:59 AM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward ARK by a median of 4.3% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Arkansas Razorbacks at Virginia Cavaliers moneyline.

Across the 23 sportsbooks currently quoting the Arkansas Razorbacks at Virginia Cavaliers moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.7% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 23-book consensus prices ARK at +123 (44.9% vig-free probability) and UVA at -123 (55.1% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: ARK +120 at DraftKings; UVA -134 at FanDuel.

In the CBB moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 1 times, tied 1, and lost 0 season to date (2 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (1 Beat, 1 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date1102100.0%
Last 30 days1102100.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Arkansas Razorbacks at Virginia Cavaliers (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/arkansas-razorbacks-at-virginia-cavaliers-moneyline-2026-11-08-34131" title="Arkansas Razorbacks at Virginia Cavaliers Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/arkansas-razorbacks-at-virginia-cavaliers-moneyline-2026-11-08-34131">ARK @ UVA Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>