Soccer · 1st Half Total Goals (Over/Under)Market MovementKickoff Market UpdateES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1. FC Köln: 1st Half Total Goals (Over/Under) Odds & Vig-Free Fair Value

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 9 books
1.5 (9 consensus books · 9 tracked)
Market Move
1.5 to 1.5 (flat since open)
Lane CLV record
SOCCER first-half game totals: 14 Beat / 7 Tied / 6 Lost (27 measured)

Why is the B04 @ KOE 1st Half Total Goals (Over/Under) moving?

  • Market consensus updated (3.6% implied probability) toward Under across 6 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 0.0 goals toward Under across 9 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 1.5 +138 (42.1% across 9 books)
Best price: 1.5 +122 at FanDuel
Under
Vig-free consensus 1.5 -138 (57.9% across 9 books)
Best price: 1.5 -160 at DraftKings

B04 @ KOE 1st Half Total Goals (Over/Under) Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM1.5+1201.5-175BetMGM
DraftKings1.5+1151.5-160DraftKings
FanDuel1.5+1221.5-160FanDuel

Full market: 9 sportsbooks, consensus 1.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: B04 @ KOE 1st Half Total Goals (Over/Under)

The Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1. FC Köln first-half total opened at 1.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 2, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 1.5 across 9 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 AM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 7:44 AM CT.

At Sun, Nov 8, 5:55 AM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 3.6% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1. FC Köln first-half total.

As of Sun, Nov 8, 5:56 AM CT, vig-free implied probability has shifted +3.5% toward Under across 9 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 0.0 pts median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.

Across the 9 sportsbooks currently quoting the Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1. FC Köln first-half total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 0.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 9-book consensus prices Over at 1.5 +138 (42.1% vig-free probability) and Under at 1.5 -138 (57.9% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 1.5 +122 at FanDuel; Under 1.5 -160 at DraftKings.

In the SOCCER first-half game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 14 times, tied 7, and lost 6 season to date (27 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

SOCCER First-Half Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (14 Beat, 7 Tied, 6 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date14762770.0%
Last 30 days11562264.7%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1. FC Köln (1st Half Total Goals (Over/Under)) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/soccer/bayer-04-leverkusen-at-1-fc-k-ln-1h-total-2026-11-08-34332" title="Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1. FC Köln 1st Half Total Goals (Over/Under) Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/soccer/bayer-04-leverkusen-at-1-fc-k-ln-1h-total-2026-11-08-34332">B04 @ KOE 1st Half Total Goals (Over/Under) Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>