Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1. FC Köln: 1st Half Total Goals (Over/Under) Odds & Vig-Free Fair Value
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 9 books
- 1.5 (9 consensus books · 9 tracked)
- Market Move
- 1.5 to 1.5 (flat since open)
- Lane CLV record
- SOCCER first-half game totals: 14 Beat / 7 Tied / 6 Lost (27 measured)
Why is the B04 @ KOE 1st Half Total Goals (Over/Under) moving?
- Market consensus updated (3.6% implied probability) toward Under across 6 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market line moved 0.0 goals toward Under across 9 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
B04 @ KOE 1st Half Total Goals (Over/Under) Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Over | Under | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.5+120 | 1.5-175 | BetMGM | |
| DraftKings | 1.5+115 | 1.5-160 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | 1.5+122 | 1.5-160 | FanDuel |
Full market: 9 sportsbooks, consensus 1.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: B04 @ KOE 1st Half Total Goals (Over/Under)
The Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1. FC Köln first-half total opened at 1.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 2, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 1.5 across 9 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 AM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 7:44 AM CT.
At Sun, Nov 8, 5:55 AM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 3.6% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1. FC Köln first-half total.
As of Sun, Nov 8, 5:56 AM CT, vig-free implied probability has shifted +3.5% toward Under across 9 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 0.0 pts median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.
Across the 9 sportsbooks currently quoting the Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1. FC Köln first-half total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 0.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 9-book consensus prices Over at 1.5 +138 (42.1% vig-free probability) and Under at 1.5 -138 (57.9% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 1.5 +122 at FanDuel; Under 1.5 -160 at DraftKings.
In the SOCCER first-half game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 14 times, tied 7, and lost 6 season to date (27 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
SOCCER First-Half Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (14 Beat, 7 Tied, 6 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 14 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 70.0% |
| Last 30 days | 11 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 64.7% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1. FC Köln (1st Half Total Goals (Over/Under)) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/soccer/bayer-04-leverkusen-at-1-fc-k-ln-1h-total-2026-11-08-34332" title="Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1. FC Köln 1st Half Total Goals (Over/Under) Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/soccer/bayer-04-leverkusen-at-1-fc-k-ln-1h-total-2026-11-08-34332">B04 @ KOE 1st Half Total Goals (Over/Under) Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>