NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: SJPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Tyler Toffoli (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Tyler Toffoli Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Sat, Oct 31, 3:00 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Mon, Nov 9, 9:00 PM CT

NHL Player Props CLV Counts

52 Beat · 11 Tied · 23 Lost

Next up

PIT @ SJ · Nov 11, 9:00 PM CT →

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 31 to Nov 9), Tyler Toffoli's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Tyler Toffoli)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 31	OTT @ SJ	1.5 (-135)	—	1	Under
Nov 2	CGY @ SJ	2.5 (+135)	+1.0	6	Over
Nov 4	SJ @ LA	2.5 (+140)	0.0	1	Under
Nov 6	SJ @ MIN	1.5	-1.0	2	Over
Nov 7	SJ @ DAL	1.5 (-120)	0.0	2	Over
Nov 9	NYI @ SJ	1.5 (-130)	0.0	3	Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Tyler Toffoli Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +1.0 vs. 0.0 book step adjustment (+1.0 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+1.0Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0

Window Open Line: 1.5
Current Posted Line: 1.5
Book Cumulative Step: 0.0
Actual Window Avg: 2.5
Actual Output Delta: +1.0
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 31 · vs OTT	1.5	—	1	-0.5
Nov 2 · vs CGY	2.5	+1.0	6	+3.5
Nov 4 · @ LA	2.5	0.0	1	-1.5
Nov 6 · @ MIN	1.5	-1.0	2	+0.5
Nov 7 · @ DAL	1.5	0.0	2	+0.5
Nov 9 · vs NYI	1.5	0.0	3	+1.5

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Tyler Toffoli Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Tyler Toffoli.

Tyler Toffoli CLV Counts

0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost

0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Tyler Toffoli.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (52 Beat, 11 Tied, 23 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 9 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	52	11	23
Last 30 days (from Oct 11 CT)	44	9	20