NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: VEGPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-1.0 over 6 games)

Tomas Hertl (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Tomas Hertl Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Sat, Oct 24, 6:00 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CT

NHL Player Props CLV Counts

50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 5), sportsbooks adjusted Tomas Hertl's posted shots on goal line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 2.5 to 1.5 (-1.0).

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Tomas Hertl)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 24	VEG @ CBJ	2.5 (+125)	—	1	Under
Oct 27	OTT @ VEG	2.5 (+130)	0.0	2	Under
Oct 30	NJ @ VEGReduced-Role Line	1.5	-1.0	2	Over
Nov 2	VEG @ BOS	2.5 (+140)	+1.0	4	Over
Nov 3	VEG @ PIT	2.5 (+136)	0.0	3	Over
Nov 5	VEG @ DETReduced-Role Line	1.5	-1.0	2	Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Tomas Hertl Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.3).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.3Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0

Window Open Line: 2.5
Current Posted Line: 2.5
Book Cumulative Step: 0.0
Actual Window Avg: 2.8
Actual Output Delta: +0.3
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 20 · vs TB	2.5	—	5	+2.5
Oct 22 · @ STL	2.5	0.0	2	-0.5
Oct 24 · @ CBJ	2.5	0.0	1	-1.5
Oct 27 · vs OTT	2.5	0.0	2	-0.5
Nov 2 · @ BOS	2.5	0.0	4	+1.5
Nov 3 · @ PIT	2.5	0.0	3	+0.5

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Tomas Hertl Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Tomas Hertl.

Tomas Hertl CLV Counts

0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost

0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Tomas Hertl.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	50	10	21
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	48	9	21