NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: NASPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Ryan O'Reilly (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 7), Ryan O'Reilly's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.3.52.92.31.71.10.51.52.51.51.51.51.5Oct 27NYI @ NASOct 29WAS @ NASOct 31TB @ NASNov 3CAR @ NASNov 5NAS @ COLNov 7STL @ NAS

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 7), Ryan O'Reilly's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Ryan O'Reilly)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
NYI @ NAS1.5 (-160)—1Under
WAS @ NAS2.5 (+130)+1.00Under
TB @ NAS1.5 (-140)-1.00Under
CAR @ NAS1.5 (-115)0.00Under
NAS @ COL1.5 (-120)0.02Over
STL @ NAS1.5 (-140)0.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Ryan O'Reilly Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.9).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-0.9Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0
Window Open Line
1.5
Current Posted Line
1.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
0.6
Actual Output Delta
-0.9
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Ryan O'Reilly Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output401Oct 27vs NYI0Oct 29vs WAS0Oct 31vs TB0Nov 3vs CAR2Nov 5@ COLNov 7vs STL
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 27 · vs NYI1.5—1-0.5
Oct 29 · vs WAS2.5+1.00-2.5
Oct 31 · vs TB1.5-1.00-1.5
Nov 3 · vs CAR1.50.00-1.5
Nov 5 · @ COL1.50.02+0.5
Nov 7 · vs STL1.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Ryan O'Reilly Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Ryan O'Reilly.

Ryan O'Reilly CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Ryan O'Reilly.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921