Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's posted shots on goal line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 1.5 to 2.5 (+1.0).
6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Ryan Nugent-Hopkins)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET @ EDM | 1.5 (-160) | — | 5 | Over | |
| CGY @ EDM | 2.5 (+130) | +1.0 | 2 | Under | |
| EDM @ NYI | 1.5 (-165) | -1.0 | 3 | Over | |
| EDM @ NYR | 1.5 (-150) | 0.0 | 0 | Under | |
| EDM @ NJ | 1.5 (-150) | 0.0 | 1 | Under | |
| VAN @ EDM | 2.5 (+125) | +1.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted 0.0 vs. -1.1 actual output delta (-1.1 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 2.5
- Current Posted Line
- 2.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- 0.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 1.4
- Actual Output Delta
- -1.1
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · vs CGY | 2.5 | — | 2 | -0.5 |
| Oct 31 · @ NYI | 1.5 | -1.0 | 3 | +1.5 |
| Nov 1 · @ NYR | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Nov 3 · @ NJ | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Nov 5 · vs ANA | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nov 7 · vs VAN | 2.5 | +1.0 | — | — |
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Ryan Nugent-Hopkins.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Ryan Nugent-Hopkins.
NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 50 | 10 | 21 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 48 | 9 | 21 |