NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: VEGPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Mitch Marner (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 5), Mitch Marner's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.3.52.92.31.71.10.51.52.52.52.52.51.5Oct 24VEG @ CBJOct 27OTT @ VEGOct 30NJ @ VEGNov 2VEG @ BOSNov 3VEG @ PITNov 5VEG @ DET

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 5), Mitch Marner's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Mitch Marner)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
VEG @ CBJReduced-Role Line1.5 (-160)———
OTT @ VEG2.5 (+132)+1.02Under
NJ @ VEG2.5 (+140)0.01Under
VEG @ BOS2.5 (+142)0.01Under
VEG @ PIT2.5 (+145)0.03Over
VEG @ DETReduced-Role Line1.5-1.03Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Mitch Marner Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.1).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-0.1Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
2.5
Current Posted Line
2.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
2.4
Actual Output Delta
-0.1
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Mitch Marner Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output605Oct 20vs TBOct 22@ STL2Oct 27vs OTT1Oct 30vs NJ1Nov 2@ BOS3Nov 3@ PIT
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 20 · vs TB——5—
Oct 22 · @ STL2.5———
Oct 27 · vs OTT2.50.02-0.5
Oct 30 · vs NJ2.50.01-1.5
Nov 2 · @ BOS2.50.01-1.5
Nov 3 · @ PIT2.50.03+0.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Mitch Marner Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Mitch Marner.

Mitch Marner CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Mitch Marner.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921