NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: BUFPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Mattias Samuelsson (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 15 to Nov 6), Mattias Samuelsson's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.2.52.11.71.30.90.51.51.51.51.51.51.5Oct 15BUF @ TOROct 24BUF @ WASOct 29BUF @ ANAOct 31BUF @ LANov 4OTT @ BUFNov 6CBJ @ BUF

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 15 to Nov 6), Mattias Samuelsson's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Mattias Samuelsson)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
BUF @ TOR1.5 (+130)—3Over
BUF @ WAS(Missed 2g)1.5 (+100)0.01Under
BUF @ ANA1.5 (+130)0.03Over
BUF @ LA1.5 (+125)0.01Under
OTT @ BUF1.5 (+130)0.00Under
CBJ @ BUF1.5 (+125)0.01Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Mattias Samuelsson Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (0.0).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag0.0Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
1.5
Current Posted Line
1.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
1.5
Actual Output Delta
0.0
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Mattias Samuelsson Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output401Oct 24@ WAS3Oct 27@ SJ3Oct 29@ ANA1Oct 31@ LA0Nov 4vs OTT1Nov 6vs CBJ
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 24 · @ WAS1.5—1-0.5
Oct 27 · @ SJ——3—
Oct 29 · @ ANA1.50.03+1.5
Oct 31 · @ LA1.50.01-0.5
Nov 4 · vs OTT1.50.00-1.5
Nov 6 · vs CBJ1.50.01-0.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Mattias Samuelsson Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Mattias Samuelsson.

Mattias Samuelsson CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Mattias Samuelsson.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921