NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: NYIPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Matthew Schaefer (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Matthew Schaefer Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Tue, Oct 13, 6:45 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 10:57 AM CT

NHL Player Props CLV Counts

50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Matthew Schaefer Releases: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 25 to Nov 7), Matthew Schaefer's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Matthew Schaefer)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 25	NYI @ DAL	2.5 (-140)	—	1	Under
Oct 27	NYI @ NAS	2.5 (-165)	0.0	2	Under
Oct 29	NYI @ MIN	2.5 (-155)	0.0	6	Over
Oct 31	EDM @ NYI	2.5 (-140)	0.0	2	Under
Nov 5	CAR @ NYI	2.5 (-110)	0.0	2	Under
Nov 7	NJ @ NYI	2.5 (-164)	0.0	—	Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Matthew Schaefer Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.1).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.1Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0

Window Open Line: 2.5
Current Posted Line: 2.5
Book Cumulative Step: 0.0
Actual Window Avg: 2.6
Actual Output Delta: +0.1
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 25 · @ DAL	2.5	—	1	-1.5
Oct 27 · @ NAS	2.5	0.0	2	-0.5
Oct 29 · @ MIN	2.5	0.0	6	+3.5
Oct 31 · vs EDM	2.5	0.0	2	-0.5
Nov 5 · vs CAR	2.5	0.0	2	-0.5
Nov 7 · vs NJ	2.5	0.0	—	—

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Matthew Schaefer Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Matthew Schaefer prop write-up.

Matthew Schaefer CLV Counts

1 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost

1 Settled CLV Receipt

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release Quote	Closing Line	Actual	CLV Grade	Write-Up
Oct 13	VAN @ NYI	Shots on Goal	Over 2.5 (-138) · FanDuel	2.5	4	Beat	Read Write-Up →

Archived Settled Matthew Schaefer Prop Write-Ups

Oct 13 CT · VAN @ NYI · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Schaefer’s heavy defensive workload and first-unit power-play role create enough shooting opportunities to reach three shots against Vancouver.

Counter-Case: Vancouver can close the shooting lanes at the point and force Schaefer to distribute toward the forwards. A comfortable Islanders lead can reduce his late-game attacking urgency and leave him short of three shots.

Matthew Schaefer WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release	Close	Actual	CLV Grade
Oct 13	VAN @ NYI	Shots on Goal	Over 2.5	2.5	4	Beat

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	50	10	21
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	48	9	21