Luke Hughes (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 22 to Nov 7), Luke Hughes's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.
6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Luke Hughes)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA @ NJ | 2.5 (+135) | — | 2 | Under | |
| LA @ NJ | 2.5 (+115) | 0.0 | 2 | Under | |
| NJ @ DAL | 2.5 (+136) | 0.0 | 2 | Under | |
| NJ @ COL | 2.5 (+130) | 0.0 | 0 | Under | |
| STL @ NJ(Missed 2g) | 2.5 (+130) | 0.0 | 2 | Under | |
| NJ @ NYI | 2.5 (+125) | 0.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Luke Hughes Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted 0.0 vs. -1.1 actual output delta (-1.1 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 2.5
- Current Posted Line
- 2.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- 0.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 1.4
- Actual Output Delta
- -1.1
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 · @ DAL | 2.5 | — | 2 | -0.5 |
| Oct 28 · @ COL | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ VEG | — | — | 2 | — |
| Nov 3 · vs EDM | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nov 5 · vs STL | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Nov 7 · @ NYI | 2.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
Luke Hughes Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Luke Hughes.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Luke Hughes.
NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 50 | 10 | 21 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 48 | 9 | 21 |