NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: NJPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Luke Hughes (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 22 to Nov 7), Luke Hughes's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.3.53.12.72.31.91.52.52.52.52.52.52.5Oct 22ANA @ NJOct 24LA @ NJOct 27NJ @ DALOct 28NJ @ COLNov 5STL @ NJNov 7NJ @ NYI

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 22 to Nov 7), Luke Hughes's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Luke Hughes)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
ANA @ NJ2.5 (+135)—2Under
LA @ NJ2.5 (+115)0.02Under
NJ @ DAL2.5 (+136)0.02Under
NJ @ COL2.5 (+130)0.00Under
STL @ NJ(Missed 2g)2.5 (+130)0.02Under
NJ @ NYI2.5 (+125)0.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production6-Game Window

Luke Hughes Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted 0.0 vs. -1.1 actual output delta (-1.1 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-1.1Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
2.5
Current Posted Line
2.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
1.4
Actual Output Delta
-1.1
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Luke Hughes Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output402Oct 27@ DAL0Oct 28@ COL2Oct 30@ VEG1Nov 3vs EDM2Nov 5vs STLNov 7@ NYI
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 27 · @ DAL2.5—2-0.5
Oct 28 · @ COL2.50.00-2.5
Oct 30 · @ VEG——2—
Nov 3 · vs EDM——1—
Nov 5 · vs STL2.50.02-0.5
Nov 7 · @ NYI2.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Luke Hughes Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Luke Hughes.

Luke Hughes CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Luke Hughes.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921