NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: NASPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Jonathan Marchessault (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Jonathan Marchessault Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Thu, Oct 15, 7:00 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Oct 31, 1:00 PM CT

NHL Player Props CLV Counts

52 Beat · 11 Tied · 23 Lost

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NAS @ LA · Nov 10, 9:00 PM CT →

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 15 to Oct 31), Jonathan Marchessault's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Jonathan Marchessault)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 15	SJ @ NAS	1.5	—	2	Over
Oct 22	NAS @ BOS(Missed 1g)	2.5 (+140)	+1.0	3	Over
Oct 24	NAS @ PIT	1.5 (-165)	-1.0	0	Under
Oct 25	COL @ NAS	1.5 (-160)	0.0	2	Over
Oct 27	NYI @ NAS	2.5 (+145)	+1.0	1	Under
Oct 31	TB @ NAS(Missed 1g)	1.5 (-155)	-1.0	4	Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Jonathan Marchessault Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output 0.0 vs. -1.0 book step adjustment (+1.0 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+1.0Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0

Window Open Line: 2.5
Current Posted Line: 1.5
Book Cumulative Step: -1.0
Actual Window Avg: 2.5
Actual Output Delta: 0.0
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 22 · @ BOS	2.5	—	3	+0.5
Oct 24 · @ PIT	1.5	-1.0	0	-1.5
Oct 25 · vs COL	1.5	0.0	2	+0.5
Oct 27 · vs NYI	2.5	+1.0	1	-1.5
Oct 29 · vs WAS	—	—	5	—
Oct 31 · vs TB	1.5	-1.0	4	+2.5

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Jonathan Marchessault Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Jonathan Marchessault.

Jonathan Marchessault CLV Counts

0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost

0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Jonathan Marchessault.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (52 Beat, 11 Tied, 23 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 9 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	52	11	23
Last 30 days (from Oct 11 CT)	44	9	20