NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: CGYPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Up (+1.0 over 6 games)

Joel Farabee (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Joel Farabee's posted shots on goal line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 1.5 to 2.5 (+1.0).3.52.92.31.71.10.51.52.51.52.52.52.5Oct 28CGY @ EDMOct 30SEA @ CGYOct 31CGY @ COLNov 2CGY @ SJNov 4CGY @ SEANov 6ANA @ CGY

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Joel Farabee's posted shots on goal line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 1.5 to 2.5 (+1.0).

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Joel Farabee)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
CGY @ EDMReduced-Role Line1.5—3Over
SEA @ CGY2.5 (+142)+1.01Under
CGY @ COLReduced-Role Line1.5 (-165)-1.03Over
CGY @ SJ2.5 (+140)+1.01Under
CGY @ SEA2.5 (+130)0.03Over
ANA @ CGY2.5 (+140)0.04Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Joel Farabee Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (+1.0) tracks actual window production (+0.8).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-0.2Max Single-Game Book Step: +1.0
Window Open Line
1.5
Current Posted Line
2.5
Book Cumulative Step
+1.0
Actual Window Avg
2.3
Actual Output Delta
+0.8
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Joel Farabee Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output503Oct 24vs DET2Oct 26vs TOR1Oct 30vs SEA1Nov 2@ SJ3Nov 4@ SEA4Nov 6vs ANA
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 24 · vs DET1.5—3+1.5
Oct 26 · vs TOR2.5+1.02-0.5
Oct 30 · vs SEA2.50.01-1.5
Nov 2 · @ SJ2.50.01-1.5
Nov 4 · @ SEA2.50.03+0.5
Nov 6 · vs ANA2.50.04+1.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Joel Farabee Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Joel Farabee.

Joel Farabee CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Joel Farabee.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921