NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: PITPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Erik Karlsson (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 22 to Nov 5), Erik Karlsson's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.3.52.92.31.71.10.52.52.52.51.51.52.5Oct 22FLA @ PITOct 24NAS @ PITOct 29UTA @ PITOct 31PIT @ MONNov 3VEG @ PITNov 5BOS @ PIT

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 22 to Nov 5), Erik Karlsson's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Erik Karlsson)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
FLA @ PIT2.5 (+128)—3Over
NAS @ PIT2.5 (+116)0.02Under
UTA @ PIT2.5 (+140)0.01Under
PIT @ MONReduced-Role Line1.5 (+145)-1.04Over
VEG @ PITReduced-Role Line1.50.02Over
BOS @ PIT2.5 (+140)+1.00Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Erik Karlsson Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.9).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-0.9Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
2.5
Current Posted Line
2.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
1.6
Actual Output Delta
-0.9
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Erik Karlsson Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output402Oct 16@ COL3Oct 22vs FLA2Oct 24vs NAS1Oct 29vs UTA0Nov 5vs BOSNov 7@ LA
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 16 · @ COL2.5—2-0.5
Oct 22 · vs FLA2.50.03+0.5
Oct 24 · vs NAS2.50.02-0.5
Oct 29 · vs UTA2.50.01-1.5
Nov 5 · vs BOS2.50.00-2.5
Nov 7 · @ LA————
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Erik Karlsson Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Erik Karlsson.

Erik Karlsson CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Erik Karlsson.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921