NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: PITPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-1.0 over 6 games)

Bryan Rust (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 9 to Oct 19), sportsbooks adjusted Bryan Rust's posted shots on goal line downward in 1 of 5 game-over-game steps from 2.5 to 1.5 (-1.0).3.52.92.31.71.10.52.52.52.52.51.51.5Oct 9PIT @ CBJOct 10DAL @ PITOct 13PIT @ CHIOct 16PIT @ COLOct 17PIT @ VEGOct 19PIT @ UTA

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 9 to Oct 19), sportsbooks adjusted Bryan Rust's posted shots on goal line downward in 1 of 5 game-over-game steps from 2.5 to 1.5 (-1.0).

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Bryan Rust)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
PIT @ CBJ2.5 (+125)—2Under
DAL @ PIT2.5 (+145)0.00Under
PIT @ CHI2.5 (+142)0.01Under
PIT @ COL2.5 (+125)0.02Under
PIT @ VEGReduced-Role Line1.5-1.01Under
PIT @ UTAReduced-Role Line1.50.00Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing5-Game Window

Bryan Rust Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.9).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-0.9Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
2.5
Current Posted Line
2.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
1.6
Actual Output Delta
-0.9
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Bryan Rust Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 5-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output403Oct 7@ WAS2Oct 9@ CBJ0Oct 10vs DAL1Oct 13@ CHI2Oct 16@ COL
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 7 · @ WAS2.5—3+0.5
Oct 9 · @ CBJ2.50.02-0.5
Oct 10 · vs DAL2.50.00-2.5
Oct 13 · @ CHI2.50.01-1.5
Oct 16 · @ COL2.50.02-0.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Bryan Rust Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Bryan Rust.

Bryan Rust CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Bryan Rust.

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921