NHL · 1st Quarter MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: NJ (+0.5% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the NJ @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 10 books
NJ -118 (10 consensus books · 10 tracked)
Market Move
TOR 50.0% to 49.5% (0.5% implied probability toward NJ)
Lane CLV record
NHL first-period moneylines: 2 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost (3 measured)

Why is the NJ @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (1.7% implied probability) toward NJ across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

NJ
Vig-free consensus -118 (54.2% across 10 books)
Best price: -127 at Caesars
TOR
Vig-free consensus +118 (45.8% across 10 books)
Best price: +108 at Caesars

NJ @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookNJTORUpdated (CT)Execution
Caesars-127+108Caesars
DraftKings-140+100DraftKings

Full market: 10 sportsbooks, consensus NJ -118. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: NJ @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline

The New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs first-period moneyline opened at 50.0% implied probability for TOR on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 2:15 PM CT) and currently sits at 49.5% implied probability for TOR across 11 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5% implied probability, with net market movement toward NJ. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 8:36 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 7:40 PM CT, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward NJ by a median of 1.7% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs first-period moneyline.

Across the 10 sportsbooks currently quoting the New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs first-period moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.4% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 10-book consensus prices NJ at -118 (54.2% vig-free probability) and TOR at +118 (45.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: NJ -127 at Caesars; TOR +108 at Caesars.

In the NHL first-period moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 1, and lost 0 season to date (3 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NHL First-Period Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 1 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date2103100.0%
Last 30 days1001100.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/new-jersey-devils-at-toronto-maple-leafs-1q-moneyline-2026-11-08-34346" title="New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/new-jersey-devils-at-toronto-maple-leafs-1q-moneyline-2026-11-08-34346">NJ @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>