NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: GSWPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-1.0 over 3 games)

Will Richard (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
91 Beat · 12 Tied · 41 Lost
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Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 3 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 3 active games (Nov 2 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Will Richard's posted points line downward in 1 of 2 game-over-game steps from 5.5 to 4.5 (-1.0).6.55.95.34.74.13.55.55.54.5Nov 2PHX @ GSWNov 5MIA @ GSWNov 7ORL @ GSW

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 3 active games (Nov 2 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Will Richard's posted points line downward in 1 of 2 game-over-game steps from 5.5 to 4.5 (-1.0).

3-Game Posted Points Ledger (Will Richard)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
PHX @ GSW5.5 (-132)—6Over
MIA @ GSW5.5 (-120)0.010Over
ORL @ GSW4.5 (+108)-1.04Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production3-Game Window

Will Richard Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +1.2 vs. -1.0 book step adjustment (+2.2 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+2.2Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0
Window Open Line
5.5
Current Posted Line
4.5
Book Cumulative Step
-1.0
Actual Window Avg
6.7
Actual Output Delta
+1.2
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Will Richard Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 3-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output1226Nov 2vs PHX10Nov 5vs MIA4Nov 7vs ORL
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Nov 2 · vs PHX5.5—6+0.5
Nov 5 · vs MIA5.50.010+4.5
Nov 7 · vs ORL4.5-1.04-0.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Will Richard Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Will Richard.

Will Richard CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Will Richard.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (91 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 9 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)911241
Last 30 days (from Oct 11 CT)911241