NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: CLEPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Up (+2.0 over 6 games)

Sam Merrill (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Sam Merrill Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Wed, Oct 28, 6:00 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Fri, Nov 6, 6:30 PM CT

NBA Player Props CLV Counts

73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Sam Merrill's posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 8.5 to 10.5 (+2.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Sam Merrill)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 28	WAS @ CLE	8.5 (-122)	—	8	Under
Oct 29	CLE @ ATL	8.5 (-102)	0.0	16	Over
Oct 31	CLE @ MIL	9.5 (+105)	+1.0	6	Under
Nov 2	OKC @ CLE	9.5 (+106)	0.0	8	Under
Nov 4	CLE @ OKC	9.5 (+108)	0.0	10	Over
Nov 6	PHI @ CLE	10.5 (+105)	+1.0	0	Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production6-Game Window

Sam Merrill Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted +2.0 vs. -0.5 actual output delta (-2.5 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-2.5Max Single-Game Book Step: +1.0

Window Open Line: 8.5
Current Posted Line: 10.5
Book Cumulative Step: +2.0
Actual Window Avg: 8.0
Actual Output Delta: -0.5
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 28 · vs WAS	8.5	—	8	-0.5
Oct 29 · @ ATL	8.5	0.0	16	+7.5
Oct 31 · @ MIL	9.5	+1.0	6	-3.5
Nov 2 · vs OKC	9.5	0.0	8	-1.5
Nov 4 · @ OKC	9.5	0.0	10	+0.5
Nov 6 · vs PHI	10.5	+1.0	0	-10.5

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Sam Merrill Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Sam Merrill.

Sam Merrill CLV Counts

0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost

0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Sam Merrill.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	73	11	36
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	73	11	36