NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: HOUPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-4.0 over 6 games)

Reed Sheppard (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
91 Beat · 12 Tied · 41 Lost
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Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 9), sportsbooks adjusted Reed Sheppard's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 11.5 to 7.5 (-4.0).14.512.510.58.56.54.511.58.512.56.58.57.5Oct 24HOU @ ATLOct 26ATL @ HOUOct 28HOU @ MILNov 2BOS @ HOUNov 7HOU @ PHXNov 9DEN @ HOU

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 9), sportsbooks adjusted Reed Sheppard's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 11.5 to 7.5 (-4.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Reed Sheppard)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
HOU @ ATL(Missed 1g)11.5 (-105)—19Over
ATL @ HOU8.5 (-120)-3.013Over
HOU @ MIL12.5 (-110)+4.07Under
BOS @ HOU6.5 (-114)-6.08Over
HOU @ PHX(Missed 1g)8.5 (+106)+2.06Under
DEN @ HOU7.5 (-120)-1.08Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Reed Sheppard Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output -1.3 vs. -4.0 book step adjustment (+2.7 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+2.7Max Single-Game Book Step: -6.0
Window Open Line
11.5
Current Posted Line
7.5
Book Cumulative Step
-4.0
Actual Window Avg
10.2
Actual Output Delta
-1.3
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Reed Sheppard Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output23319Oct 24@ ATL13Oct 26vs ATL7Oct 28@ MIL8Nov 2vs BOS6Nov 7@ PHX8Nov 9vs DEN
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 24 · @ ATL11.5—19+7.5
Oct 26 · vs ATL8.5-3.013+4.5
Oct 28 · @ MIL12.5+4.07-5.5
Nov 2 · vs BOS6.5-6.08+1.5
Nov 7 · @ PHX8.5+2.06-2.5
Nov 9 · vs DEN7.5-1.08+0.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Reed Sheppard Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Reed Sheppard.

Reed Sheppard CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Reed Sheppard.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (91 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 9 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)911241
Last 30 days (from Oct 11 CT)911241