NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: SACPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-2.0 over 6 games)

Precious Achiuwa (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost
Precious Achiuwa Releases: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Precious Achiuwa's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 10.5 to 8.5 (-2.0).13.512.311.19.98.77.510.510.512.511.59.58.5Oct 27SAC @ SASOct 29SAC @ NOPOct 31SAC @ MEMNov 2SAC @ DALNov 4LAL @ SACNov 6SAS @ SAC

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Precious Achiuwa's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 10.5 to 8.5 (-2.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Precious Achiuwa)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
SAC @ SAS10.5 (-105)—4Under
SAC @ NOP10.5 (-115)0.024Over
SAC @ MEM12.5 (-111)+2.06Under
SAC @ DAL11.5 (-105)-1.06Under
LAL @ SAC9.5 (-108)-2.07Under
SAS @ SAC8.5 (-104)-1.09Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Precious Achiuwa Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (-2.0) tracks actual window production (-1.2).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.8Max Single-Game Book Step: -2.0
Window Open Line
10.5
Current Posted Line
8.5
Book Cumulative Step
-2.0
Actual Window Avg
9.3
Actual Output Delta
-1.2
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Precious Achiuwa Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output2904Oct 27@ SAS24Oct 29@ NOP6Oct 31@ MEM6Nov 2@ DAL7Nov 4vs LAL9Nov 6vs SAS
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 27 · @ SAS10.5—4-6.5
Oct 29 · @ NOP10.50.024+13.5
Oct 31 · @ MEM12.5+2.06-6.5
Nov 2 · @ DAL11.5-1.06-5.5
Nov 4 · vs LAL9.5-2.07-2.5
Nov 6 · vs SAS8.5-1.09+0.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Precious Achiuwa Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 1 Lost)

0 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Precious Achiuwa prop write-up.

Precious Achiuwa CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 1 Lost
1 Settled CLV Receipt
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Nov 2SAC @ DALPointsOver 11.5 (-114) · FanDuel11.56LostRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Precious Achiuwa Prop Write-Ups

Nov 2 CT · SAC @ DAL · PointsFull Write-Up →

Achiuwa's expanded starting role gives him enough expected minutes and attempts to reach twelve points.

Counter-Case: Dallas can deny Achiuwa clean interior finishes and make Sacramento create through its perimeter players. A slow opening or another shortened appearance can hold down both his attempts and his scoring.

Precious Achiuwa WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Nov 2SAC @ DALPointsOver 11.511.56Lost

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136