NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: ORLPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-4.0 over 3 games)

Nikola Vučević (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 3 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 3 active games (Oct 21 to Nov 2), sportsbooks adjusted Nikola Vučević's posted points line downward in 1 of 2 game-over-game steps from 8.5 to 4.5 (-4.0).9.58.37.15.94.73.58.54.54.5Oct 21ATL @ ORLOct 30ORL @ TORNov 2WAS @ ORL

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 3 active games (Oct 21 to Nov 2), sportsbooks adjusted Nikola Vučević's posted points line downward in 1 of 2 game-over-game steps from 8.5 to 4.5 (-4.0).

3-Game Posted Points Ledger (Nikola Vučević)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
ATL @ ORL8.5 (-105)—0Under
ORL @ TOR4.5 (-120)-4.03Under
WAS @ ORL(Missed 1g)4.5 (-115)0.07Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production3-Game Window

Nikola Vučević Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted -4.0 vs. -5.2 actual output delta (-1.2 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-1.2Max Single-Game Book Step: -4.0
Window Open Line
8.5
Current Posted Line
4.5
Book Cumulative Step
-4.0
Actual Window Avg
3.3
Actual Output Delta
-5.2
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Nikola Vučević Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 3-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output1100Oct 21vs ATL3Oct 30@ TOR7Nov 2vs WAS
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 21 · vs ATL8.5—0-8.5
Oct 30 · @ TOR4.5-4.03-1.5
Nov 2 · vs WAS4.50.07+2.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Nikola Vučević Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Nikola Vučević.

Nikola Vučević CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Nikola Vučević.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136