Mario Hezonja (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 29 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Mario Hezonja's posted points line upward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 6.5 to 10.5 (+4.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Mario Hezonja)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE @ ATL | 6.5 (-112) | — | 10 | Over | |
| CLE @ MIL | 7.5 (-105) | +1.0 | 8 | Over | |
| OKC @ CLE | 9.5 (+104) | +2.0 | 12 | Over | |
| CLE @ OKC | 9.5 (-105) | 0.0 | 12 | Over | |
| PHI @ CLE | 8.5 (+100) | -1.0 | 15 | Over | |
| NYK @ CLE | 10.5 (+102) | +2.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Mario Hezonja Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (+4.0) tracks actual window production (+4.9).
- Window Open Line
- 6.5
- Current Posted Line
- 10.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +4.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 11.4
- Actual Output Delta
- +4.9
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 · @ ATL | 6.5 | — | 10 | +3.5 |
| Oct 31 · @ MIL | 7.5 | +1.0 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs OKC | 9.5 | +2.0 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ OKC | 9.5 | 0.0 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Nov 6 · vs PHI | 8.5 | -1.0 | 15 | +6.5 |
| Nov 7 · vs NYK | 10.5 | +2.0 | — | — |
Mario Hezonja Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Mario Hezonja.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Mario Hezonja.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |