NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: HOUPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-2.0 over 6 games)

Marcus Smart (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
91 Beat · 12 Tied · 41 Lost
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Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 30 to Nov 9), sportsbooks adjusted Marcus Smart's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 8.5 to 6.5 (-2.0).10.59.58.57.56.55.58.59.56.57.56.56.5Oct 30HOU @ DALOct 31OKC @ HOUNov 2BOS @ HOUNov 4MIN @ HOUNov 7HOU @ PHXNov 9DEN @ HOU

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 30 to Nov 9), sportsbooks adjusted Marcus Smart's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 8.5 to 6.5 (-2.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Marcus Smart)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
HOU @ DAL8.5 (-120)—8Under
OKC @ HOU9.5 (-102)+1.024Over
BOS @ HOU6.5 (-132)-3.08Over
MIN @ HOU7.5 (+106)+1.04Under
HOU @ PHX6.5 (-113)-1.05Under
DEN @ HOU6.5 (-111)0.05Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Marcus Smart Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +0.5 vs. -2.0 book step adjustment (+2.5 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+2.5Max Single-Game Book Step: -3.0
Window Open Line
8.5
Current Posted Line
6.5
Book Cumulative Step
-2.0
Actual Window Avg
9.0
Actual Output Delta
+0.5
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Marcus Smart Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output2908Oct 30@ DAL24Oct 31vs OKC8Nov 2vs BOS4Nov 4vs MIN5Nov 7@ PHX5Nov 9vs DEN
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 30 · @ DAL8.5—8-0.5
Oct 31 · vs OKC9.5+1.024+14.5
Nov 2 · vs BOS6.5-3.08+1.5
Nov 4 · vs MIN7.5+1.04-3.5
Nov 7 · @ PHX6.5-1.05-1.5
Nov 9 · vs DEN6.50.05-1.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Marcus Smart Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Marcus Smart.

Marcus Smart CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Marcus Smart.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (91 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 9 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)911241
Last 30 days (from Oct 11 CT)911241