Keon Ellis (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 21 to Nov 1), sportsbooks adjusted Keon Ellis's posted points line downward in 1 of 5 game-over-game steps from 7.5 to 6.5 (-1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Keon Ellis)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHA @ BKN | 7.5 (-101) | — | 7 | Under | |
| BKN @ CLE | 7.5 (-105) | 0.0 | 6 | Under | |
| IND @ BKN | 7.5 (-105) | 0.0 | 9 | Over | |
| BKN @ BOS | 7.5 (+100) | 0.0 | 2 | Under | |
| DET @ BKN | 6.5 (-103) | -1.0 | 6 | Under | |
| BKN @ IND | 6.5 (-118) | 0.0 | 0 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Keon Ellis Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted -1.0 vs. -2.5 actual output delta (-1.5 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 7.5
- Current Posted Line
- 6.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 5.0
- Actual Output Delta
- -2.5
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 · vs CHA | 7.5 | — | 7 | -0.5 |
| Oct 24 · @ CLE | 7.5 | 0.0 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Oct 25 · vs IND | 7.5 | 0.0 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Oct 27 · @ BOS | 7.5 | 0.0 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Oct 30 · vs DET | 6.5 | -1.0 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Nov 1 · @ IND | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -6.5 |
Keon Ellis Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Keon Ellis.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Keon Ellis.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |