Karlo Matkovic (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 5 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 5 active games (Oct 31 to Nov 8), sportsbooks adjusted Karlo Matkovic's posted points line downward in 2 of 4 game-over-game steps from 8.5 to 7.5 (-1.0).
5-Game Posted Points Ledger (Karlo Matkovic)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL @ NOP | 8.5 (-104) | — | 8 | Under | |
| NOP @ MEM | 6.5 (-118) | -2.0 | 25 | Over | |
| UTA @ NOP | 8.5 (-115) | +2.0 | 5 | Under | |
| MIN @ NOP | 6.5 (-105) | -2.0 | 18 | Over | |
| NOP @ LAC | 7.5 (+103) | +1.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Karlo Matkovic Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Actual output +5.5 vs. -1.0 book step adjustment (+6.5 Unpriced Book Lag).
- Window Open Line
- 8.5
- Current Posted Line
- 7.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 14.0
- Actual Output Delta
- +5.5
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 · vs ATL | 8.5 | — | 8 | -0.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ MEM | 6.5 | -2.0 | 25 | +18.5 |
| Nov 4 · vs UTA | 8.5 | +2.0 | 5 | -3.5 |
| Nov 6 · vs MIN | 6.5 | -2.0 | 18 | +11.5 |
| Nov 8 · @ LAC | 7.5 | +1.0 | — | — |
Karlo Matkovic Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Karlo Matkovic.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Karlo Matkovic.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (75 Beat, 11 Tied, 39 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 7 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 75 | 11 | 39 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 9 CT) | 75 | 11 | 39 |