Jaren Jackson Jr. (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 4 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 4 active games (Oct 21 to Oct 26), sportsbooks adjusted Jaren Jackson Jr.'s posted points line downward in 1 of 3 game-over-game steps from 19.5 to 17.5 (-2.0).
4-Game Posted Points Ledger (Jaren Jackson Jr.)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA @ MEM | 19.5 (+107) | — | 15 | Under | |
| NOP @ UTA | 17.5 (-112) | -2.0 | 24 | Over | |
| LAL @ UTA | 17.5 (-101) | 0.0 | 20 | Over | |
| MEM @ UTA | 17.5 (-105) | 0.0 | 6 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted -2.0 vs. -3.2 actual output delta (-1.2 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 19.5
- Current Posted Line
- 17.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -2.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 16.3
- Actual Output Delta
- -3.2
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 · @ MEM | 19.5 | — | 15 | -4.5 |
| Oct 23 · vs NOP | 17.5 | -2.0 | 24 | +6.5 |
| Oct 25 · vs LAL | 17.5 | 0.0 | 20 | +2.5 |
| Oct 26 · vs MEM | 17.5 | 0.0 | 6 | -11.5 |
Jaren Jackson Jr. Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Jaren Jackson Jr..
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Jaren Jackson Jr..
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |