NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: UTAPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-2.0 over 4 games)

Jaren Jackson Jr. (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 4 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 4 active games (Oct 21 to Oct 26), sportsbooks adjusted Jaren Jackson Jr.'s posted points line downward in 1 of 3 game-over-game steps from 19.5 to 17.5 (-2.0).20.519.718.918.117.316.519.517.517.517.5Oct 21UTA @ MEMOct 23NOP @ UTAOct 25LAL @ UTAOct 26MEM @ UTA

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 4 active games (Oct 21 to Oct 26), sportsbooks adjusted Jaren Jackson Jr.'s posted points line downward in 1 of 3 game-over-game steps from 19.5 to 17.5 (-2.0).

4-Game Posted Points Ledger (Jaren Jackson Jr.)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
UTA @ MEM19.5 (+107)—15Under
NOP @ UTA17.5 (-112)-2.024Over
LAL @ UTA17.5 (-101)0.020Over
MEM @ UTA17.5 (-105)0.06Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production4-Game Window

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted -2.0 vs. -3.2 actual output delta (-1.2 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-1.2Max Single-Game Book Step: -2.0
Window Open Line
19.5
Current Posted Line
17.5
Book Cumulative Step
-2.0
Actual Window Avg
16.3
Actual Output Delta
-3.2
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Jaren Jackson Jr. Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 4-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output29215Oct 21@ MEM24Oct 23vs NOP20Oct 25vs LAL6Oct 26vs MEM
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 21 · @ MEM19.5—15-4.5
Oct 23 · vs NOP17.5-2.024+6.5
Oct 25 · vs LAL17.50.020+2.5
Oct 26 · vs MEM17.50.06-11.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Jaren Jackson Jr. Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Jaren Jackson Jr..

Jaren Jackson Jr. CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Jaren Jackson Jr..

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136