Jamal Shead (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Jamal Shead's posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 6.5 to 11.5 (+5.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Jamal Shead)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL @ TOR | 6.5 (-125) | — | 13 | Over | |
| ORL @ TOR | 7.5 (-104) | +1.0 | 2 | Under | |
| TOR @ LAL | 6.5 (+100) | -1.0 | 9 | Over | |
| TOR @ LAC | 6.5 (-125) | 0.0 | 6 | Under | |
| TOR @ DEN | 6.5 (-120) | 0.0 | 3 | Under | |
| TOR @ MIL | 11.5 (-104) | +5.0 | 10 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Jamal Shead Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted +5.0 vs. +0.7 actual output delta (-4.3 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 6.5
- Current Posted Line
- 11.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +5.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 7.2
- Actual Output Delta
- +0.7
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · vs ORL | 6.5 | — | 13 | +6.5 |
| Oct 30 · vs ORL | 7.5 | +1.0 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Nov 1 · @ LAL | 6.5 | -1.0 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ LAC | 6.5 | 0.0 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ DEN | 6.5 | 0.0 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Nov 6 · @ MIL | 11.5 | +5.0 | 10 | -1.5 |
Jamal Shead Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Jamal Shead.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Jamal Shead.
Jamal Shead WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | CHI @ TOR | Assists | Over 4.5 | 4.5 | 5 | Lost |
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |