NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: DETPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Up (+1.0 over 2 games)

Jalen Duren (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Jalen Duren Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Tue, Oct 20, 2:00 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 10:55 AM CT

NBA Player Props CLV Counts

73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 2 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 2 active games (Oct 20 to Oct 23), sportsbooks adjusted Jalen Duren's posted points line upward in 1 of 1 game-over-game steps from 16.5 to 17.5 (+1.0).

2-Game Posted Points Ledger (Jalen Duren)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 20	BOS @ DET	16.5 (+100)	—	22	Over
Oct 23	DET @ MIA	17.5 (-103)	+1.0	4	Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production2-Game Window

Jalen Duren Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted +1.0 vs. -3.5 actual output delta (-4.5 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-4.5Max Single-Game Book Step: +1.0

Window Open Line: 16.5
Current Posted Line: 17.5
Book Cumulative Step: +1.0
Actual Window Avg: 13.0
Actual Output Delta: -3.5
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 20 · vs BOS	16.5	—	22	+5.5
Oct 23 · @ MIA	17.5	+1.0	4	-13.5

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Jalen Duren Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 active Jalen Duren prop write-up tracked awaiting closing line settlement.

Jalen Duren CLV Counts

0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost

0 Settled CLV Receipts

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release Quote	Closing Line	Actual	CLV Grade	Write-Up
Oct 20	BOS @ DET	Points	Over 16.5 (-109) · DraftKings	16.5	22	—	Read Write-Up →

Archived Settled Jalen Duren Prop Write-Ups

Oct 20 CT · BOS @ DET · PointsFull Write-Up →

Duren's established scoring volume can clear the threshold without requiring an improvement on his prior-season production.

Counter-Case: Boston can interrupt the passing lanes into the paint and make Duren finish through its interior defense. Early fouls or shorter stints could redirect center minutes and scoring opportunities to Collins, while a slow game limits replacement possessions.

Jalen Duren WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release	Close	Actual	CLV Grade
Oct 20	BOS @ DET	Points	Over 16.5	16.5	22	—

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	73	11	36
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	73	11	36