Jakob Poeltl (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 9), sportsbooks adjusted Jakob Poeltl's posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 8.5 to 9.5 (+1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Jakob Poeltl)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL @ TOR | 8.5 (-110) | — | 2 | Under | |
| ORL @ TOR | 6.5 (-111) | -2.0 | 12 | Over | |
| TOR @ LAC(Missed 1g) | 8.5 (+100) | +2.0 | — | — | |
| TOR @ DEN | 5.5 (-104) | -3.0 | 8 | Over | |
| TOR @ MIL | 9.5 (-105) | +4.0 | 19 | Over | |
| MEM @ TOR | 9.5 (-111) | 0.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Jakob Poeltl Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (+1.0) tracks actual window production (+1.8).
- Window Open Line
- 8.5
- Current Posted Line
- 9.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 10.3
- Actual Output Delta
- +1.8
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · vs ORL | 8.5 | — | 2 | -6.5 |
| Oct 30 · vs ORL | 6.5 | -2.0 | 12 | +5.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ LAC | 8.5 | +2.0 | — | — |
| Nov 4 · @ DEN | 5.5 | -3.0 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Nov 6 · @ MIL | 9.5 | +4.0 | 19 | +9.5 |
| Nov 9 · vs MEM | 9.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
Jakob Poeltl Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Jakob Poeltl.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Jakob Poeltl.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (87 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 8 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 87 | 12 | 41 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 10 CT) | 87 | 12 | 41 |