Derrick Jones Jr. (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 25 to Nov 8), sportsbooks adjusted Derrick Jones Jr.'s posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 9.5 to 11.5 (+2.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Derrick Jones Jr.)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC @ OKC | 9.5 (-130) | — | 11 | Over | |
| LAL @ LAC | 11.5 (-116) | +2.0 | 15 | Over | |
| LAC @ MIN | 10.5 (+100) | -1.0 | 10 | Under | |
| LAC @ GSW | 10.5 (-120) | 0.0 | 9 | Under | |
| MIA @ LAC(Missed 1g) | 10.5 (-102) | 0.0 | 12 | Over | |
| NOP @ LAC | 11.5 (+102) | +1.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Derrick Jones Jr. Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (+2.0) tracks actual window production (+1.9).
- Window Open Line
- 9.5
- Current Posted Line
- 11.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +2.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 11.4
- Actual Output Delta
- +1.9
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 · @ OKC | 9.5 | — | 11 | +1.5 |
| Oct 28 · vs LAL | 11.5 | +2.0 | 15 | +3.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ MIN | 10.5 | -1.0 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Nov 1 · @ GSW | 10.5 | 0.0 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Nov 4 · vs MIA | 10.5 | 0.0 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Nov 8 · vs NOP | 11.5 | +1.0 | — | — |
Derrick Jones Jr. Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Derrick Jones Jr..
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Derrick Jones Jr..
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (75 Beat, 11 Tied, 39 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 7 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 75 | 11 | 39 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 9 CT) | 75 | 11 | 39 |