Deandre Ayton (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 9), sportsbooks adjusted Deandre Ayton's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 5.5 to 4.5 (-1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Deandre Ayton)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAS @ CLE(Missed 1g) | 5.5 (-115) | — | 10 | Over | |
| CHA @ WAS | 4.5 (-105) | -1.0 | 3 | Under | |
| WAS @ ORL | 7.5 (-110) | +3.0 | 4 | Under | |
| WAS @ ATL(Missed 1g) | 9.5 (-108) | +2.0 | 8 | Under | |
| WAS @ OKC | 7.5 (+105) | -2.0 | 2 | Under | |
| WAS @ DET | 4.5 (+118) | -3.0 | 2 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Deandre Ayton Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (-1.0) tracks actual window production (-0.7).
- Window Open Line
- 5.5
- Current Posted Line
- 4.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 4.8
- Actual Output Delta
- -0.7
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · @ CLE | 5.5 | — | 10 | +4.5 |
| Oct 30 · vs CHA | 4.5 | -1.0 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ ORL | 7.5 | +3.0 | 4 | -3.5 |
| Nov 6 · @ ATL | 9.5 | +2.0 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Nov 7 · @ OKC | 7.5 | -2.0 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Nov 9 · @ DET | 4.5 | -3.0 | 2 | -2.5 |
Deandre Ayton Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Deandre Ayton.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Deandre Ayton.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (91 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 9 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 91 | 12 | 41 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 11 CT) | 91 | 12 | 41 |