NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: LACPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-3.0 over 6 games)

Darius Garland (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
75 Beat · 11 Tied · 39 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 8), sportsbooks adjusted Darius Garland's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 24.5 to 21.5 (-3.0).25.524.523.522.521.520.524.523.523.522.521.521.5Oct 28LAL @ LACOct 30LAC @ MINNov 1LAC @ GSWNov 2TOR @ LACNov 4MIA @ LACNov 8NOP @ LAC

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 8), sportsbooks adjusted Darius Garland's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 24.5 to 21.5 (-3.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Darius Garland)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
LAL @ LAC24.5 (+102)—14Under
LAC @ MIN23.5 (+100)-1.024Over
LAC @ GSW23.5 (-109)0.015Under
TOR @ LAC22.5 (-115)-1.016Under
MIA @ LAC21.5 (-120)-1.026Over
NOP @ LAC21.5 (-115)0.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production6-Game Window

Darius Garland Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted -3.0 vs. -5.5 actual output delta (-2.5 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-2.5Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0
Window Open Line
24.5
Current Posted Line
21.5
Book Cumulative Step
-3.0
Actual Window Avg
19.0
Actual Output Delta
-5.5
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Darius Garland Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output291114Oct 28vs LAL24Oct 30@ MIN15Nov 1@ GSW16Nov 2vs TOR26Nov 4vs MIANov 8vs NOP
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 28 · vs LAL24.5—14-10.5
Oct 30 · @ MIN23.5-1.024+0.5
Nov 1 · @ GSW23.50.015-8.5
Nov 2 · vs TOR22.5-1.016-6.5
Nov 4 · vs MIA21.5-1.026+4.5
Nov 8 · vs NOP21.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Darius Garland Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Darius Garland.

Darius Garland CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Darius Garland.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (75 Beat, 11 Tied, 39 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 7 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)751139
Last 30 days (from Oct 9 CT)751139