Caleb Martin (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 5 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 5 active games (Nov 2 to Nov 9), sportsbooks adjusted Caleb Martin's posted points line downward in 1 of 4 game-over-game steps from 5.5 to 4.5 (-1.0).
5-Game Posted Points Ledger (Caleb Martin)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC @ DAL | 5.5 (-108) | — | 5 | Under | |
| DAL @ SAS | 5.5 (+144) | 0.0 | 0 | Under | |
| UTA @ DAL | 4.5 (+102) | -1.0 | 0 | Under | |
| BKN @ DAL | 4.5 (+100) | 0.0 | 2 | Under | |
| IND @ DAL | 4.5 (-114) | 0.0 | 0 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Caleb Martin Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted -1.0 vs. -4.1 actual output delta (-3.1 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 5.5
- Current Posted Line
- 4.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 1.4
- Actual Output Delta
- -4.1
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 · vs SAC | 5.5 | — | 5 | -0.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ SAS | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Nov 6 · vs UTA | 4.5 | -1.0 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Nov 8 · vs BKN | 4.5 | 0.0 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Nov 9 · vs IND | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -4.5 |
Caleb Martin Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Caleb Martin.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Caleb Martin.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (91 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 9 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 91 | 12 | 41 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 11 CT) | 91 | 12 | 41 |