NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: TORPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-1.0 over 2 games)

Allen Graves (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
91 Beat · 12 Tied · 41 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 2 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 2 active games (Nov 6 to Nov 9), sportsbooks adjusted Allen Graves's posted points line downward in 1 of 1 game-over-game steps from 8.5 to 7.5 (-1.0).9.58.98.37.77.16.58.57.5Nov 6TOR @ MILNov 9MEM @ TOR

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 2 active games (Nov 6 to Nov 9), sportsbooks adjusted Allen Graves's posted points line downward in 1 of 1 game-over-game steps from 8.5 to 7.5 (-1.0).

2-Game Posted Points Ledger (Allen Graves)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
TOR @ MIL8.5 (-105)—3Under
MEM @ TOR7.5 (+108)-1.03Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production2-Game Window

Allen Graves Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted -1.0 vs. -5.5 actual output delta (-4.5 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-4.5Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0
Window Open Line
8.5
Current Posted Line
7.5
Book Cumulative Step
-1.0
Actual Window Avg
3.0
Actual Output Delta
-5.5
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Allen Graves Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 2-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output1013Nov 6@ MIL3Nov 9vs MEM
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Nov 6 · @ MIL8.5—3-5.5
Nov 9 · vs MEM7.5-1.03-4.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Allen Graves Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Allen Graves.

Allen Graves CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Allen Graves.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (91 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 9 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)911241
Last 30 days (from Oct 11 CT)911241