AJ Green (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 21 to Nov 8), sportsbooks adjusted AJ Green's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 7.5 to 6.5 (-1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (AJ Green)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL @ WAS | 7.5 (+105) | — | 6 | Under | |
| CLE @ MIL | 6.5 (-110) | -1.0 | 0 | Under | |
| MIL @ MIN | 6.5 (+125) | 0.0 | 13 | Over | |
| MIL @ BOS | 6.5 (+110) | 0.0 | 5 | Under | |
| TOR @ MIL | 5.5 (-145) | -1.0 | 12 | Over | |
| BOS @ MIL | 6.5 (-103) | +1.0 | 5 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
AJ Green Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (-1.0) tracks actual window production (-0.7).
- Window Open Line
- 7.5
- Current Posted Line
- 6.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 6.8
- Actual Output Delta
- -0.7
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 · @ WAS | 7.5 | — | 6 | -1.5 |
| Oct 31 · vs CLE | 6.5 | -1.0 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ MIN | 6.5 | 0.0 | 13 | +6.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ BOS | 6.5 | 0.0 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Nov 6 · vs TOR | 5.5 | -1.0 | 12 | +6.5 |
| Nov 8 · vs BOS | 6.5 | +1.0 | 5 | -1.5 |
AJ Green Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for AJ Green.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for AJ Green.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (91 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 9 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 91 | 12 | 41 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 11 CT) | 91 | 12 | 41 |