Why is the GRANTD @ SMITHE moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 36 books
- GRANTD +283 (36 consensus books · 36 tracked)
- Market Move
- SMITHE 75.2% to 77.5% (2.3% implied probability toward SMITHE)
- Lane CLV record
- MMA moneylines: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)
Why is the GRANTD @ SMITHE moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (1.6% implied probability) toward SMITHE across 9 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
GRANTD @ SMITHE Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | GRANTD | SMITHE | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +260 | -325 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +265 | -340 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +275 | -345 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +285 | -350 | FanDuel | |
| ProphetX | +280 | -315 | ProphetX |
Full market: 36 sportsbooks, consensus GRANTD +283. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: GRANTD @ SMITHE Moneyline
The Davey Grant at Elijah Smith moneyline opened at 75.2% implied probability for SMITHE on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 3, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 77.5% implied probability for SMITHE across 37 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.3% implied probability, with net market movement toward SMITHE. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 8:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 7:12 PM CT.
At Sat, Nov 7, 6:04 PM CT, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward SMITHE by a median of 1.6% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Davey Grant at Elijah Smith moneyline.
Across the 36 sportsbooks currently quoting the Davey Grant at Elijah Smith moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 7.8% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 36-book consensus prices GRANTD at +283 (26.1% vig-free probability) and SMITHE at -283 (73.9% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: GRANTD +285 at FanDuel; SMITHE -315 at ProphetX.
WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every MMA moneylines release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.
MMA Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Last 30 days | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Davey Grant at Elijah Smith (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/mma/davey-grant-at-elijah-smith-moneyline-2026-11-07-34598" title="Davey Grant at Elijah Smith Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/mma/davey-grant-at-elijah-smith-moneyline-2026-11-07-34598">GRANTD @ SMITHE Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>