Why is the MSU @ MICH Away Team Total moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 13 books
- 12.5 (7 consensus books · 13 tracked)
- Market Move
- 13.5 to 12.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
- Lane CLV record
- CFB team totals: 30 Beat / 6 Tied / 22 Lost (58 measured)
Why is the MSU @ MICH Away Team Total moving?
- Best available partner price toward Under 13.5: Caesars (-113).
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MSU @ MICH Away Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Over | Under | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 13.5+100 | 13.5-120 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | 13.5-118 | 13.5-113 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | 12.5-125 | 12.5-105 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | 12.5-122 | 12.5-104 | FanDuel |
Full market: 13 sportsbooks, consensus 12.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: MSU @ MICH Away Team Total
The Michigan State Spartans at Michigan Wolverines Michigan State Spartans team total opened at 13.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 6:01 AM CT) and currently sits at 12.5 across 14 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 5:58 PM CT.
As of Sat, Nov 7, 4:57 PM CT, WagerBird Modeled Fair Value and vig-free consensus price Under 13.5 at 54.4% vig-free probability, reflecting a +3.6% Fair Value Edge relative to current partner sportsbook quotes, with the best available partner price currently at Caesars (-113).
Across the 13 sportsbooks currently quoting the Michigan State Spartans at Michigan Wolverines Michigan State Spartans team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 7-book consensus prices Over at 12.5 -107 (51.8% vig-free probability) and Under at 12.5 +107 (48.2% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 12.5 -122 at FanDuel; Under 13.5 -113 at Caesars.
In the CFB team totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 30 times, tied 6, and lost 22 season to date (58 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Team Totals Closing-Line Value Record (30 Beat, 6 Tied, 22 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 30 | 6 | 22 | 58 | 57.7% |
| Last 30 days | 10 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 55.6% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Michigan State Spartans at Michigan Wolverines (Away Team Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/michigan-state-spartans-at-michigan-wolverines-away-team-total-2026-11-07-27420" title="Michigan State Spartans at Michigan Wolverines Away Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/michigan-state-spartans-at-michigan-wolverines-away-team-total-2026-11-07-27420">MSU @ MICH Away Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>